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Can William Ruto Stage Coup in Jubilee – Political Analysts Answer

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Deputy President William Ruto’s only way to wrestle Jubilee out of President Uhuru Kenyatta’s grip would be through overriding the Head of State and summoning Jubilee top organs.

Ruto’s deadline against fighting the changes gazetted by Jubilee Party Secretary-General Raphael Tuju is fast approaching, as he has only nine days before the changes take effect.

With the National Executive Committee as the most powerful organ in Jubilee, central to 2022 politics and any changes such as a coalition, other than heading to court, Ruto can opt to seize the mantle and summon NEC alongside the National Governing Council to address issues within Jubilee.

Jubilee Party Secretary-General Raphael Tuju during a press briefing on January 9, 2019.

File

However, this would be contrary to the Jubilee Constitution as Article 9 (6) stipulate that Kenyatta only can chair all meetings of the National Delegates Convention and National Governing Council.

Tuju has further been bestowed the powers to convene meetings of the National Governing Council, the National Executive Committee, and the National Delegates Convention to take place as provided for in the constitution and at such other times as may be decided by the National Executive Committee.

Ruto’s power rest solely under Kenyatta as the article has no definitive role for him. 

“The deputy party leader shall deputise the party leader, and shall perform such functions as the party leader may direct him or her to do,” it reads. 

The DP himself is aware of how powerful the NEC is, as on Saturday, April 25, he dismissed claims President Uhuru Kenyatta has powers to enter into a coalition unilaterally, and quoted article 32 of the party constitution. 

“The National Executive Committee may pass a resolution to enter into a pre-election coalition with any political party or parties,” its states.

“The instrument of the pre-election coalition shall bear the signature of the national chairperson and the secretary-general and shall be sealed accordingly,” it adds. 

So, is Ruto bold enough to manage a coup within Jubilee and challenge Kenyatta’s leadership in the party?

“If he tries to pull a coup in Jubilee, the timing would be wrong and it could rub Kenyans the wrong way. Last time he tried to address the nation it backfired on him. The mood would also be wrong. Kenyatta is taking a breather as he knows MPs have focused solely on putting food on their tables and those of their residents, and they can’t be mobilised right now,” Dr Jane Thuo, a lecturer at the University of Nairobi and a communication and media expert stated while speaking with kenyagist.com.

“Even if he tries, he can’t take over the party, as his powers are curtailed by Uhuru, the document states that he deputises him. Remember also the registrar of political parties is under Kenyatta as she is part of the government. It would be impossible for him,” political analyst Martin Andati adds. 

University of Nairobi don and political scientist, Herman Manyora on Friday, April 17, had opined that Ruto and his allies were wasting time and effort fighting Kenyatta as they wouldn’t succeed.

“All along they knew that Jubilee belonged to Kenyatta and they don’t have any more value to the party, or we can say they are of nuisance value. Instead of Kenyatta’s allies pulling out, Ruto and his friends should walk away,” Manyora explained. 

Deputy President William Ruto (left) and President Uhuru Kenyatta enjoy a hearty moment during the BBI launch at the Bomas of Kenya on November 27, 2019.

Deputy President William Ruto (left) and President Uhuru Kenyatta enjoy a hearty moment during the BBI launch at the Bomas of Kenya on November 27, 2019.

PSCU

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